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Conspiracy theories, rigorously examined.

We steelman the claim, then follow the evidence. Some theories were true. Most aren't. Here's how to tell the difference.

Conspiracy theories deserve serious examination — not mockery and not credulity. Some dismissed as paranoia, like MKUltra and NSA mass surveillance, turned out to be true. Others, like flat earth, have been thoroughly debunked by centuries of evidence. The difference matters. Conspirafy takes every theory seriously enough to steelman it fairly, then rigorously test it against the evidence. Every theory gets a clear verdict: confirmed, debunked, or somewhere in between.

We're not "both sides." We're pro-evidence. Every theory is examined for logical fallacies, red flags, and source quality. When a theory has been confirmed by declassified documents, we say so. When it's been debunked, we say that clearly too — with the evidence to back it up.

Verdicts of the Day

One confirmed, one debunked, one under investigation. Refreshed as new theories publish.

Confirmed

Section 230 platform-immunity debate (1996-present)

Section 230(c)(1) of the Communications Decency Act 1996 provides that no provider or user of an interactive computer service shall be treated as the publisher or speaker of any information provided by another information content provider. Drafted by Reps. Christopher Cox and Ron Wyden as a response to Stratton Oakmont v Prodigy (1995), it has since shielded Meta, Google, and X from liability for user-generated content. Critics — from the Knight First Amendment Institute to House Energy and Commerce Committee — argue the immunity is overbroad and enables platform censorship; defenders counter that removing it would chill free expression and destroy small platforms. Trump EO 13925 (28 May 2020) directed a review; it was revoked 21 January 2021. The Supreme Court dismissed federal-government censorship-collusion claims in Murthy v Missouri (26 June 2024) for lack of standing. The 'conspiracy' framing here is the claim that Big Tech lobbied to entrench and expand Section 230 to achieve permanent, unaccountable censorship power.

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Debunked

UN Agenda 21 and Agenda 2030

UN Agenda 21 (1992) and its successor the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development (2015, the 17 SDGs) are non-binding, voluntary UN action plans on sustainable development. A conspiracy theory recasts them as a covert blueprint for one-world government, abolition of private property, forced urbanization and depopulation.

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Under Investigation

TikTok and the CCP Propaganda Algorithm

TikTok, owned by ByteDance (a Chinese-headquartered company), has been the subject of US government concern since at least 2019. CFIUS and congressional investigations have documented real data-collection concerns. Studies have found algorithmic differences in how sensitive political topics (Xinjiang, Tibet, Tiananmen Square) are surfaced on TikTok compared to competitor platforms. Whether these differences represent coordinated CCP propaganda operations or organic content-policy choices remains contested. The ban-and-reversal cycle through 2024-2025 reflects genuine unresolved institutional uncertainty.

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Beyond the theory archive, explore the connections, history, and tools we use to fact-check.

Explore by Category

Finance & Economics
Theories about banking conspiracies, market manipulation, and economic control. Follow the money to understand who really pulls the strings of the global economy.
Government & Politics
Theories about government cover-ups, false flag operations, secret societies, and political conspiracies. From confirmed programs like MKUltra to ongoing debates about surveillance and hidden agendas, this category explores the shadowy side of power.
Health & Medicine
Theories about pharmaceutical industry practices, suppressed cures, and health-related cover-ups. Examining the intersection of profit, politics, and public health.
History & Ancient Civilizations
Theories about hidden history, lost civilizations, and suppressed archaeological discoveries. Explore alternative narratives about humanity's past, from Atlantis to the construction of the pyramids.
Science & Environment
Theories challenging scientific consensus or alleging cover-ups in the scientific community. These range from flat earth beliefs to debates about weather manipulation, questioning what we're told about the natural world.
Space & Extraterrestrial
Theories about UFOs, alien contact, space program deceptions, and extraterrestrial life. From moon landing skepticism to Area 51 secrets, this category looks beyond our atmosphere for hidden truths.
Technology & Surveillance
Theories about technological surveillance, social media manipulation, AI consciousness, and techno-authoritarianism. In an increasingly digital world, what are we really agreeing to?

Latest Theories

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Technology & SurveillanceConfirmed
Section 230 platform-immunity debate (1996-present)
Section 230(c)(1) of the Communications Decency Act 1996 provides that no provider or user of an interactive computer service shall be treated as the publisher or speaker of any information provided by another information content provider. Drafted by Reps. Christopher Cox and Ron Wyden as a response to Stratton Oakmont v Prodigy (1995), it has since shielded Meta, Google, and X from liability for user-generated content. Critics — from the Knight First Amendment Institute to House Energy and Commerce Committee — argue the immunity is overbroad and enables platform censorship; defenders counter that removing it would chill free expression and destroy small platforms. Trump EO 13925 (28 May 2020) directed a review; it was revoked 21 January 2021. The Supreme Court dismissed federal-government censorship-collusion claims in Murthy v Missouri (26 June 2024) for lack of standing. The 'conspiracy' framing here is the claim that Big Tech lobbied to entrench and expand Section 230 to achieve permanent, unaccountable censorship power.
8 sources3% confidencebeing upgraded
Technology & SurveillanceUnsubstantiated
AI existential risk / 'AI doomer' debate (2014-present)
The claim that artificial intelligence poses an existential or catastrophic risk to humanity has been advanced by Nick Bostrom ('Superintelligence,' 2014), Stuart Russell ('Human Compatible,' 2019), Eliezer Yudkowsky and the LessWrong rationalist community, and — in more measured form — by Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio. The Future of Life Institute open letter (22 March 2023) calling for a six-month pause on large AI experiments attracted over 30,000 signatories. The Center for AI Safety statement (30 May 2023) was signed by Hinton, Bengio, Sam Altman, and Demis Hassabis. The AI Safety Summit at Bletchley Park (1-2 November 2023) convened 28 countries plus the EU. Counter-arguments from Andrew Ng, Yann LeCun, and Melanie Mitchell hold that existential framing overstates near-term risk and distracts from concrete algorithmic harms including bias and labour displacement.
8 sources2% confidencebeing upgraded
Technology & SurveillancePartially True
Meta/Facebook knowledge of Cambridge Analytica before Mar 2018 (2015-18)
Facebook discovered in December 2015 that Aleksandr Kogan's 'thisisyourdigitallife' app had harvested data from approximately 87 million users and transferred it to SCL Group/Cambridge Analytica. Facebook contacted Cambridge Analytica, obtained certifications of data deletion, and did not notify affected users. Internal documents produced in the 2018 FTC investigation showed Facebook had identified the policy enforcement gap but treated it as resolved by the deletion certifications. Christopher Wylie's whistleblower disclosures to the New York Times and The Guardian (17 March 2018) revealed that the data had not been deleted. Facebook paid a $5 billion FTC settlement (24 July 2019) and a $100 million SEC fine. The claim that Facebook knowingly concealed this data harvest from regulators and users is partially supported by the documentary record.
16 sources3% confidencefully sourced

Confirmed

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Section 230 platform-immunity debate (1996-present)

Section 230(c)(1) of the Communications Decency Act 1996 provides that no provider or user of an interactive computer service shall be treated as the publisher or speaker of any information provided by another information content provider. Drafted by Reps. Christopher Cox and Ron Wyden as a response to Stratton Oakmont v Prodigy (1995), it has since shielded Meta, Google, and X from liability for user-generated content. Critics — from the Knight First Amendment Institute to House Energy and Commerce Committee — argue the immunity is overbroad and enables platform censorship; defenders counter that removing it would chill free expression and destroy small platforms. Trump EO 13925 (28 May 2020) directed a review; it was revoked 21 January 2021. The Supreme Court dismissed federal-government censorship-collusion claims in Murthy v Missouri (26 June 2024) for lack of standing. The 'conspiracy' framing here is the claim that Big Tech lobbied to entrench and expand Section 230 to achieve permanent, unaccountable censorship power.

Bush Sr Iran-Contra pardons (Dec 24 1992)

On Christmas Eve 1992, outgoing President George H.W. Bush pardoned six Iran-Contra figures: former Defense Secretary Caspar Weinberger, former Assistant Secretary of State Elliott Abrams, CIA officer Duane Clarridge, CIA officer Alan Fiers, former CIA Deputy Director of Operations Clair George, and former National Security Advisor Robert McFarlane. Independent Counsel Lawrence Walsh denounced the pardons as a "cover-up," arguing they cut off his investigation before Weinberger could stand trial. A Bush VP diary entry released after the pardons revealed that Bush himself had been fully briefed on the Iran-Contra operation: "I was one of the few people that knew fully the details." Walsh's Final Report (1993/1994) accused Bush of withholding information.

Buck v Bell SCOTUS sterilization ruling (May 2 1927)

On 2 May 1927, the Supreme Court ruled 8-1 in Buck v. Bell that Virginia's compulsory sterilization law was constitutional. Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr. wrote the majority opinion, coining the phrase 'three generations of imbeciles are enough.' The sole dissenter, Justice Pierce Butler, did not write an opinion. Carrie Buck — the plaintiff, 17 years old, raped by her foster family's nephew and then institutionalized — was sterilized at the Virginia State Colony for Epileptics and Feebleminded. Later research by Stephen Jay Gould showed that Buck's daughter Vivian, cited in Holmes's opinion as the 'third generation of imbeciles,' achieved normal-to-honor-roll school performance before dying young. The ruling was cited by Nazi defendants at Nuremberg and has never been formally overturned.

Debunked

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UN Agenda 21 and Agenda 2030

UN Agenda 21 (1992) and its successor the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development (2015, the 17 SDGs) are non-binding, voluntary UN action plans on sustainable development. A conspiracy theory recasts them as a covert blueprint for one-world government, abolition of private property, forced urbanization and depopulation.

Black Knight Satellite

The Black Knight satellite is the belief that an artificial object of extraterrestrial origin, roughly 13,000 years old, has been silently orbiting Earth in a near-polar orbit. In reality it is a single 'legend' assembled from at least six unrelated, individually explained events, capped by 1998 NASA photos of a lost thermal blanket.

Columbine 'Trench Coat Mafia' bullied-loners myth (Apr 20 1999)

On April 20 1999 Eric Harris (18) and Dylan Klebold (17) killed 13 people and injured 24 at Columbine High School, Littleton CO, before dying by suicide. Initial reporting — including a USA Today front page and a Time cover captioned 'The Monsters Next Door' — framed the pair as outcast goths bullied into revenge by peers. Dave Cullen's 2009 book 'Columbine' and FBI profiler Dwayne Fuselier's psychological analysis demolished that framing: Harris met criteria for clinical psychopathy on the Hare PCL-R scale; Klebold was severely depressed and suicidal; neither was a bullied loner in the sense the media narrative required. The 'Trench Coat Mafia' was a separate clique whose members had graduated before the attack; Harris and Klebold wore the dusters for tactical concealment, not group identity.

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Browse every theory

All 441 approved entries on Conspirafy, organised by category. Full index for search engines + readers who prefer browsing over searching.

Finance & Economics (48)

Government & Politics (173)

Health & Medicine (51)

History & Ancient Civilizations (64)

Science & Environment (24)

Space & Extraterrestrial (25)

Technology & Surveillance (56)